Speculated Returns (not financial advice)

For more on fake/legitimate volume checkout the report mentioned in @D_Raky’s post Setting up rational volume expectations One thing worth noting is that the report only takes into account BTC volume as well as stable-coins i.e. all of the alt-coin volume is left out. The reason for omitting alt-coin volume is because the report was written with the aim of having a BTC ETF approved, therefore alt-coin trading volume is irrelevant in the context of their report.

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Have you aver taken in consideration the money that are going to be printed in the upcoming years and injected in the economy? :exploding_head:

Yes that’s why the latest spreadsheet goes all the way to a $1 quadrillion marketcap for Bitcoin. PlanB’s S2FX has Bitcoin over $90m after the 2028 halving, if that eventuality comes to bear it’ll be because the $USD has been hyperinflated to infinity more than Bitcoin becoming the global reserve currency and actually being worth that much (global wealth is only $360 trillion). The notional value of Global derivatives is ~$540 trillion (Gross market value is only $11.7 trillion) so there isn’t really anything that justifies a market of that size other than hyperinflation. Realistically Bitcoin is probably only worth 2-3x Gold in a world where fiat is dead ($20-$30 trillion marketcap or $1-2 million per BTC in today’s dollars).

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Just be sure to set reasonable targets for your complete portfolio and try to get your investment back. Keep te rest and set a few higher targets.

Write this on paper and stick to it.

I am already cashing out some of my crypto because you never know what the future brings. As for my NEX tokens, I will keep them and stake them each month over and over again.

I don’t pay much attention to these sheets. We will see how it goes.

The naive should start getting educated…

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Options are on the road-map

Part of Nash’s future vision is to be the worlds only (non)bank.
Selection_328

Maybe it’s possible that Nash is the platform at the centre of trade between everything that gets tokenised.

Nash’s mission is to empower more than one billion users to invest in, trade and manage digital assets by 2030. We aim to be the premier platform for decentralized financial tools and services.

The question isn’t where Nash is today (no Link-Bitcoin market), it’s where will Nash be at the end of the year or decade.

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No but Nash does have the first-mover advantage (first non-custodial + regulatory compliant platform with an off-chain matching engine that offers cross-chain trading using 2nd layer state channels)

I’ve simply outlined the possibility and some possible causes…

… if the naive can’t think for themselves that’s on them.

The body of the post also states

Not sure what more I could say to get them to think for themselves…

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The four main outcomes are probably;

  • Being wrong: maybe Nash fails like the other 99% of start-ups, if a user has failed to manage their risk through lack of diversification or seeking alternative investments then they may fail along with Nash.
  • Being early: if a user can afford to be early this isn’t really an issue unless they’re worried about opportunity cost, however if they can’t afford to be early then the outcome is the same as being wrong.
  • Being late: if a user has significant capital they may be able to afford being late however for the average person they’re probably better off not running the risk of being late.
  • Being right: if a user has sized their portfolio allocation to NEX correctly they’ll most likely achieve at least a minimal level of financial freedom

So far it appears I’m in the early category, had I held Bitcoin instead of NEX over the last 2yrs I could afford 6x the amount of NEX I currently own, however I didn’t want to take the risk of GA going live (significant adoption / trading volume) and not owning NEX within an efficient tax structure before that happens. Fortunately I can afford to be early and wrong so it’s a non-issue. It’s for each user to determine their own risk profile, I’m just shedding some light on the landscape and future possibilities.

Believing something isn’t possible that is, is a risk in an of itself, I’d rather fail than die having missed opportunities.
(The probability of Nash’s success/failure is within my own risk tolerance, I can’t speak for the naive but if they’re to succeed they’ll need to develop their own understanding of their personal risk tolerance level.)

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Probably what you are referring here is to almost everything today, doesn’t matter if it is a startup.
The world is so unstable that BIGGEST MONEY TRANSFER in history is not going to happen without pain.
Why should someone be bothered about how other people perceive their words?
If it’s true for myself and I express myself, does it mean that I have to worry for everyone reading what I say?
Why not to just let people see it as a point of view, getting their big boy pants, and start making decisions for themselves.
Nash will be a success, and nothing less then that. And when I make any statements, this means that it is my opinion, nobody is forced to take it :handshake:
All the speculation and hope in the project is a personal thing, and if people agreed with you it’s really everyone’s own choice. Every market comes with risks. Nothing guarantees that we will wake up in the morning. So let’s have fun and dream big.
NOTHING IN LIFE is worth while unless you take risks.
THERE IS NO PASSION to be found playing small, and settling for a life that is less then EXTRAORDINARY
Nash is my passion at the moment and if it means that there is risk involved, I will pay that price, in exchange of having the chance to be a part of a company that is striving to change the world :earth_americas:
Thank you :handshake:

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In the same boat :sailboat: :handshake:

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If everyone will think in terms of reasons, companies like Nash would not exist. Is not reasonable to fight against big boys, in order to give opportunities to everyone :face_with_monocle:. Dreamers are those like Elon Musk, Nash and so many more.
Please refrain from discouraging words. I am fed up from Twitter, hearing from uninformed people that Nash is a bad quality project.
Just let us support each other and enjoy the ride :handshake: ( what is true, only time will show)

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